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History and Development of Financial Instruments
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Introduction
Picture the world at
war in 1944. All of Europe, except for Switzerland, is pounding its
infrastructure, manufacturing base and population into rubble and death.
Asia is locked into a monumental struggle which is destroying Japan,
China, and the Pacific Rim countries. North Africa, the Baltic's, and the
Mediterranean countries are clutched in a life and death struggle in the
fight to throw off the yoke of occupation. A world gone mad! Economic
destruction, human misery and dislocation exists on a scale never
before experienced in human history. What went wrong? How could the world
rebuild and recover from such devastation? How could another war be
avoided?
Maynard Keynes, Harry White
and Bretton Woods
This was the world as
it existed in July 1944 when a relatively small group of 130 of the
western worlds most accomplished economic, social and political minds met
in upstate New Hampshire at a small vacation town called
Bretton
Woods. John Maynard Keynes, the man who had predicted the current
catastrophe in his book, The Economic Consequences of the Peace,
written in 1920, was about to become the principal architect of the
post-World War II reconstruction. Keynes presented a
rather radical plan to rebuild the worlds economy, and hopefully avoid a
third world war. This time the world listened, for
Keynes
and his supporters were the only ones who had a plan that in any way
seemed grand enough in foresight and scope to have a chance at being
successful. Yet Keynes had to fight hard to convince
those rooted in conventional economic theories and partisan political
doctrines to adopt his proposals. In the end, Keynes was able to sell
about two-thirds of his proposals through sheer force of will and the
support of the United States Secretary of the Treasury,
Harry Dexter White.
At the heart of
Keynes proposals were two basic principals, first the Allies must
rebuild the Axis Countries, not exploit them as had been done after WWI
and second, a new international monetary system must be established, headed by
a strong international banking system and a common world currency not tied
to a gold standard.
Keynes
went on to reason that Europe and Asia were in complete economic
devastation with their means of production seriously crippled, their trade
economies destroyed and their treasuries in deep dept. If the world
economy was to emerge from its current state, it obviously needed to
expand. This expansion would be limited if paper currency were still
anchored to gold.
The United States,
Canada, Switzerland and Australia were the only industrialized western
countries to have their economies, banking systems and treasuries intact
and fully operational. The enormous issue at the Bretton Woods Convention
in 1944 was how to completely rebuild the European and Asian economies on
a sufficiently solid basis to foster the establishment of stable,
prosperous pro-democratic governments.
At the time, the
majority of the world's gold supply, hence its wealth, was concentrated in
the hands of the United States, Switzerland and Canada. A system had to be
established to democratize trade and wealth and redistribute, or recycle,
currency from strong trade surplus countries back into countries with weak
or negative trade surpluses. Otherwise, the majority of the world's wealth
would remain concentrated in the hands of a few nations while the rest of
the world would remain in poverty.
Keynes and White
proposed that the United States supported by Canada and Switzerland would
become the banker to the world and the U.S. Dollar would replace the
pound sterling as the the medium of international trade. He also suggested
that the dollar's value be tied to the good faith and credit of the U.S.
Government not to gold or silver, as had traditionally been the support
for a nation's currency.
Keynes concept of how
to accomplish all of this was radical for its time, but was based upon the
centuries old framework of import/export finance. This form of finance was
used to support certain sectors of international commerce which did not
use gold as collateral, but rather their own good faith and credit, backed
by letters of credit, avals, or guarantees.
Keynes reasoned that
even if his plans to rebuild the world's economy were adopted at the
Bretton Woods Convention, remaining on a Gold standard
would seriously restrict the flexibility of governments to increase the
money supply. The rate of increase of currency would not be sufficient to
insure the continued successful expansion of international commerce over
the long term. This condition could lead to a severe economic crisis
which, in turn, could even lead to another world war. However, the
economic ministers and politicians present at the convention feared loss
of control over their own national economies as well as run-away
inflation, unless a "hard-currency" standard were adopted.
The Convention
accepted Keynes' basic economic plan, but opted for a gold-backed currency
as a standard of exchange. The "official"
price of gold
was set at its pre-WWII level of $ 35.00 per ounce. One U.S. Dollar would
purchase 1/35 an ounce of gold. The U.S. dollar would become the standard
world currency and the value of all other currencies in the western
non-communist world would be tied to the U.S. dollar as the medium of
exchange.
Marshall plan - IMF -
World Bank and Bank of International Settlements
The
Bretton
Woods Convention produced the Marshall Plan, the Bank for
Reconstruction and Development known as the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Bank of
International Settlements (BIS). These four would re-establish and
revitalize the economies of the western nations. The World Bank would
borrow from rich nations and lend to poorer nations. The
IMF,
working closely with the World Bank with a pool of funds controlled by a
board of governors, would initiate currency adjustments and maintain the
exchange rates among national currencies within defined limits. The
Bank of International Settlements would then function as a
"central bank" to the world.
The International
Monetary Fund was to be a lender to the central banks of countries which
were experiencing a deficit in the balance of payments. By lending money
to that country's central bank, the IMF provided
currency, allowing the underdeveloped country to continue in business, building up is export base until it achieved a positive balance of
payments. Then, that nation's central bank could repay the money borrowed
from the IMF, with a small amount of interest and
continue on its own as an economically viable nation. If the country
experienced an economic contraction, the IMF would be
standing ready to make another loan to carry it through.
Bank of International
Settlements
The
Bank of
International Settlements (BIS) was created as a new central bank
to the central banks of each nation. It was organized along the lines of
the U.S. Federal Reserve System and is principally
responsible for the orderly settlement of transactions among the central
banks of individual countries. In addition, it sets standards for capital
adequacy among the central banks and coordinates the orderly distribution
of a sufficient supply of currency in circulation necessary to support
international trade and commerce.
The Bank of
International Settlements is controlled by the
Basel
Committee which is comprised of ministers sent from each of the
G-10 nations central banks. It has been traditional for the individual
ministers appointed to the Basel Committee to be the equivalent of the New
York "Fed's" chairperson controlling the open market desk.
World Bank
The World Bank,
organized along more traditional commercial banking lines was formed to be
"lender to the world". Initially to rebuild the infrastructure,
manufacturing and service sectors of the European and Asian Economies, and
ultimately to support the development of Third World nations and their
economies. The depositors to the World Bank are nations rather than
individuals. However, the World Banks' economic "ripple system"
uses the same general banking principles that have proven effective over
centuries.
The tie that binds
The directors of both
the World Bank and the Bank of International Settlements are controlled by the ministers from each of the G-10 countries,
including
Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden,
Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Luxembourg.
Bretton Woods under
pressure
By 1961, the plans
adopted at the Bretton Woods convention of 1947 were
succeeding beyond anyone's expectation, proving that Keynes was right.
Unfortunately, Keynes was also right in his prediction of a world monetary
crisis. It was brought on by a lack of sufficient currency (U.S. dollars)
in world circulation to support rapidly expanding international commerce.
The solution to this crisis lay in the hands of the
Kennedy
Administration, the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank and the Bank of
International Settlements. The world needed more U.S. Dollars to
facilitate trade. The U.S. was faced with a dwindling gold supply to back
such additional dollars. Printing more dollars would violate the gold
standard established by the Bretton Woods
agreements. To break the treaty would potentially destroy the stable core
at the center of the worlds economy, leading to international discord,
trade wars, lack of trust and possibly to outright war. The crises was
further aggravated by the belief that the majority of the dollars then in
circulation were not
concentrated in the coffers of sovereign governments, but rather in the
vaults or treasuries of private banks, multinational corporations, private
businesses and individual personal bank accounts. A mere agreement or
directive issued by governments among themselves would not prevent the
looming crisis. Some mechanism was needed to encourage the private sector
to willingly exchange their U.S. Dollar currency holdings for some other
form of money.
The problem was solved
by using the framework of forfeit finance, a method used to underwrite
certain import/export transactions which relies upon the guarantee or aval
(a form of guarantee under Napoleonic law) issued by a
major bank in the form of either documentary or standby letters of credit
or bills of exchange which are then used to assure an exporter of future
payment for the goods or services provided to an importer. The system was
well established and understood by private banks, government and the
business community world wide. The documents used in such financing were
standardized and controlled by international accord and administered by the
members of the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC)
headquartered in Paris. There would be no need to create another world
agency to monitor the system if already approved and readily available
documentation, laws and procedure provided by the ICC were adopted. The
International Chamber of Commerce is a private, non-governmental,
worldwide organization, that has evolved over time into a well recognized
organized, respected and, most of all, trusted association. Its members
include the worlds major banks, importers, exporters, merchants, and
retailers who subscribe to well-defined conventions, bylaws and codes of
conduct over time, the ICC has hammered out pre-approved documentation and
procedures to promote and settle international commercial transactions.
In the ICC and forfeit
systems lay the seeds of a resolution to the looming crisis. Recycling the
current number of dollars back into world commerce would solve the problem
by avoiding the printing of more U.S. dollars and would leave the Bretton
Woods Agreement intact. If currency or dollars, could be drawn back into
circulation through the private international banking system and
redistributed through the well known "bank ripple effect",
no new dollars would need to be printed and the world would have an
adequate currency supply. The private international banking system
required an investment vehicle which could be used to access dollar
accounts, thereby recycling substantial dollar deposits. This vehicle
would have to be viewed by the private market to be so secure and safe
that it would be comparable with U.S. Treasuries which had a reputation
for instant liquidity and safety. Given the "newness" of whatever
instrument might be created, the private sector would prefer to exchange
their dollars for a "proven" instrument (United States Treasuries) but
selling new Treasury issues would not solve the problem. In fact, it would
exacerbate the looming crisis by taking more dollars out of circulation.
The World needed more dollars in circulation.
The answer was to
encourage the most respected and creditworthy of the world's private banks
to issue a financial instrument guaranteed by the full faith and credit of
the issuing bank, with the support from the central banks, IMF and
Bank of International Settlements. The worlds private investment
and business sector would view new investments issued in this manner as
"safe". To encourage their purchase over Treasuries, the investor yield on
the new issues would have to be superior to the yield on Treasuries. If
the instruments could be viewed as both safe and providing superior yields
over Treasuries, the private sector would purchase these instruments
without hesitation.
The crisis was
prevented by encouraging the international private banking sector to issue
letters of credit and bank guarantees, in large denominations, at yields
superior to U.S. Treasuries. To offset the increased "cows" to the issuing
banks, due to the higher yields accompanying these bank instruments,
banking regulations within the countries involved were modified in such a
way as to encourage and or allow the following:
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Reduced reserve
requirements via off-shore transactions.
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Support of the
program by the central banks, World Bank, IMF and Bank of International
Settlements.
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Off-balance sheet
accounting by the banks involved.
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Instruments to be
legally ranked "para passu" (on the same level) with
depositors funds.
-
The banks obtaining
these depositor funds would be allowed to leverage these funds with the
applicable central bank of the country of domicile in such a way as to
obtain the equivalent of federal funds at a much lower cost. When these
"leveraged funds'" are blended with all other accessed
funds, the overall blended rate cost of funds to the issuing bank is
substantially diminished, thus offsetting the high yield given to
attract the investor with substantial funds to deposit.
The bank instruments
offered to investors were sold in large denominations, often $100 million,
through a well established and very efficient market mechanism,
substantially reducing the cost of accessing the funds. The reduced costs
offset the higher yields paid by the issuing banks.
Multi-use Instrument
Major commercial banks
soon came to realize that these instruments could serve as more than a "funds
recycling and redistribution tool", as originally envisioned. For
the issuing bank, they could provide a the means of resolving two of the
bankers major problems: interest rate risks over the term of the loan, and
disintegration of depositor funds. Bankers, now for the first time, had
available a reliable method of accessing large amounts of money in a very
cost efficient manner. These funds could be held as deposits at a
predetermined cost over a specific period of time. This new system to
promote currency redistribution had also given private banks a way to pass
on to third parties the interest rate and disintegration risks formerly
borne by the bank.
The use of these
instruments providing instant liquidity and safety, has worked amazingly
well since 1961. It is one of the principal factors which has served to
prevent another financial crisis in the world economies.
In recent years,
smaller banks not ranked among the top 100 have been issuing their own
instruments. Considering the dollar volume and the number of instruments
issued daily, the system has worked extremely well. There have been few
instances where a major bank has had financial problems. In all cases, the
central bank of the G-10 country concerned and the
Bank of
International Settlements have moved quickly to financially
stabilize the bank, insuring its ability to honor its commitments. Funds
invested in these instruments rank para passu with depositors accounts,
and as such, their integrity and protection is considered by all the
institutions involved as fundamental to a sound international banking
system.
The bank instruments
program designed under the Kennedy Administration is
still used very effectively to assist in recycling and redistributing
currency to meet the worlds demand for commerce.
Insufficient gold
supply
Another significant
change of the Bretton Woods Agreement came in 1971, when
the volume of world trade using U.S. dollars as the medium of exchange,
finally exceeded the ability of the United States to support its currency
with gold. The restraints of the gold standard at $35 per ounce
established under the Bretton Woods Agreements placed the United States in
a very precarious position. As Keynes had predicted, there was not enough
gold in the U.S. Treasury to back the actual number of U.S. dollars then
in circulation. In fact, the treasury was not really sure how many paper
dollars actually were in circulation. What they did how, however, was that
there was not enough gold in Fort Knox to back them. The
problem was that the U.S. Treasury was not the only institution aware of
this fact. All G-10 countries were aware of this. If
demand were placed upon the U.S. Treasury at any one time to exchange all
the Eurodollars for gold, the U S. Treasury would have
had to default, thereby effectively bankrupting the United States
government.
France, the United
Kingdom, Germany and Japan were concerned about their substantial holdings
in U.S. dollars, if just one of these countries demanded
gold for
dollars. Then a meeting between ambassadors to the U.S took place
with Connelly ,who was then Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, and
Undersecretary of the Treasury, Paul Volker. Connelly
listened to the ambassador and said, " I will answer you tomorrow".
Nixon, Connolly and
Volker, in an ultra-secret weekend meeting with the brightest of the
nations' bankers and economists gathered to ponder "tomorrows" answer.
Honoring the demand meant certain death to the U.S. as an economic super
power. Not meeting the demand would have catastrophic results. Was there a
way out? What if the U.S. unilaterally abandoned the gold standard and let
its currency float in the market? Nixon and his advisors viewed the
dilemma in terms of two mutually exclusive alternatives: increasing the
value of U.S. gold reserves and maintaining a gold-backed economy, or
considering the repercussions to the worlds economies if the U.S. dollar
were no longer backed by gold.
To resolve the crisis,
the U.S. needed to unilaterally abandon efforts to maintain the official
price of gold at an artificial level of $35 per ounce, the same price that
existed in 1933. Gold in 1971 had a market value of approximately $350 to
$400 per ounce in the commercial world market, or about 10 times the
official price. By letting gold seek its market price, the U.S. Treasury's
gold would automatically become worth approximately 10 times its value at
the official price. Under these circumstances, any government bank or
private investor would have to exchange $350 to $400 U.S. dollars for an
ounce of gold at the market price rather than one U.S. dollar to acquire
1/35th of an ounce of gold at the old official price. An ounce of gold
would rise in exchange value by a factor of ten, and the
U.S.
Treasurys' gold supply would increase correspondingly.
In addition, once the
gold standard established at Bretton Woods at $35 per ounce was abandoned,
why reestablish it at $350 an ounce? The same problem would eventually
arise again, and Keynes would be right again. Why not adopt Keynes'
original idea of a currency, being backed by the good faith and credit of
its government, its people, the national resources and its production
capacity? The United States needed to let its currency "float" in value
against all other world currencies and not tie it to gold. Market forces
would set the dollars' value through its exchange rate with other foreign
currencies. Nixon and his advisors also realized that business world-wide
had long ceased conducting international trade through gold and silver
exchanges. Therefore, taking the dollar off the gold standard and allowing
its value to float in relation to other world currencies would create
currency risks for international trade transactions, but it would not
preclude or stall international commerce. The world of international
business had, in practice, already abandoned the gold standard years
before, considering it cumbersome and unworkable. Moreover, the other
Western nations had neither the economic nor military power to force the
U.S. to honor its commitment to the gold standard and, therefore, could
not prevent it from abandoning the standard.
Based upon a clear
understanding of these two interrelated realities. Nixon and his advisors
determined to abandon the gold standard and allow the U.S. dollar to
"float" in relation to other nations' currency. The exchange rate would no
longer be determined by an artificially-maintained gold standard, but
rather by the value placed on each currency in the foreign exchange market
Nixon and Kennedy
The system for
controlling currency supply, established by the Kennedy Administration,
became an indispensable tool to the Nixon administration. The IMF and the
Bank of International Settlements insured that the U.S. dollar would hold
its value in the international market and was recycled from countries with
a positive balance of payments back into the world economy. The illusion
of U.S. dollar backed by gold was gone.
The preceding
information explains the use of bank instruments as an alternative
investment vehicle to United States government notes and how and why the
process of issuing bank instruments used in trading programs began and
continues today.
_________________________________________________________________________________
This information is an interpretation rendered
from an independent source
All rights reserved
2007-2009
Prophecy Financial LLC, Sandy Hook, Connecticut USA
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